Predicting the Future of Humanity and Machine Intelligence

News-based probability indices, updated weekly

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Prior Posts & Predictions

Progress, Risk, and Uncertainty

Sep 29, 2026

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6 min read

Progress, Risk, and Uncertainty

🐪 12 indices, some satire, and a new way of tracking global progress and risk

Probability is Everything

Sep 23, 2026

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5 min read

Probability is Everything

🐪 10 new indexes for predicting the future of humanity and machine systems

Robots Among Us

Aug 11, 2026

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3 min read

Robots Among Us

🐪 Why are companies building humanoid robots?

The Beasts We Awaken, Part 1

Aug 4, 2026

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3 min read

The Beasts We Awaken, Part 1

🐪 Rates of human transmission are rising as new infectious pathogens emerge

The Prophet Machines

Jul 28, 2026

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3 min read

The Prophet Machines

🐪 For super-intelligence; no cost is too great

To the Skies and Beyond

Jul 21, 2026

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2 min read

To the Skies and Beyond

🐪 Are electric air-taxis the flying cars we've been waiting for?